Book Threat and risk analysis in the context of strategic forecasting / M. Hough, A. du Plessis, G.P.H. Kruys.
Associated Name: Du Plessis, A. 1951-
Associated Name: Kruys, G. P. H.
Associated Name: University of Pretoria. Institute for Strategic Studies.
Publication year: 2008.
Call Number HM1101 .H68 2008
Media class: Book
Publisher: Pretoria : Institute for Strategic Studies, University of Pretoria
ISBN: 9781868547340 1868547345
Series title: Ad hoc publication ; no. 45.
Extent: 108 p. ; 21 cm.
This publication presents a concise introduction to threat and risk analysis, the use and construction of scenarios, the role of intelligence and early warning, and political forecasting and state decay--Publisher's description.
Part I: Threat analysis in the strategic context -- Part II: Risks and risk analysis in the strategic context -- Part III: The risks involved in the execution of military interventions -- Part IV: Forecasting and scenarios -- Part V: The role of intelligence and early warning in forecasting -- Part VI: Political forecasting and state collapse.