Book Seeing the invisible : national security intelligence in an uncertain age / Thomas Quiggin.
Associated Name: Ramakrishna, Kumar.
Associated Name: S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
Publication year: c2007.
Call Number UA10.5 .Q83 2007
Media class: Book
Publisher: Hackensack, NJ : World Scientific
ISBN: 9789812704825 9812704825
"S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies."
Includes Fore. by Kumar Ramakrishna, Acting Head, Centre of Excellence for National Security, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University.
Includes Pref. by author.
Extent: xvi, 246 p. : ill. ; 23 cm.
Intelligence is critical to ensuring national security, especially with asymmetric threats making up most of the new challenges. Knowledge, rather than power, is the only weapon that can prevail in a complex and uncertain environment awash with asymmetric threats, some known, many currently unknown. This book shows how such a changing national security environment has had profound implications for the strategic intelligence requirements of states in the 21st century. The book shows up the fallacy underlying the age-old assumption that intelligence agencies must do a better job of connecting the dots and avoiding future failures. It argues that this cannot and will not happen for a variety of reasons. Instead of seeking to predict discrete future events, the strategic intelligence community must focus rather on risk-based anticipatory warnings concerning the nature and impact of a range of potential threats. In this respect, the book argues for a full and creative exploitation of technology to support, but not supplant, the work of the strategic intelligence community, and illustrates this ideal with reference to Singapore's path-breaking Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning (RAHS) program. -- Publisher's Description.
1. The plan of the book -- 2. Understanding national security -- 3. The complex and uncertain international security environment -- 4. Strategic intelligence assessment and surprise attacks -- 5. Ancient and modern assessments: common problems -- 6. Reinforcing intelligence failures -- 7. Technology and intelligence -- 8. Structure and organization : the weakness of centralized intelligence -- 9. Faint signals -- 10. More faint signals being missed? -- 11. National security intelligence and the front line requirements -- 12. Open source intelligence -- 13. Anticipating future threats : the problem areas -- 14. Anticipating future threats: the areas of strength -- 15. The Singapore Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning (RAHS) Process -- 16. Rethinking national security intelligence -- Appendix A. National security and education: thinking across the boundaries of time and specialization.